CB CalBallot

Proposition 38: Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research. Initiative Statute.

California Statewide • 2026

Upcoming

Official description - California Secretary of State

Authorizes $8.4 billion in general obligation bonds for immunology and immunotherapy research, half to a single University of California-affiliated nonprofit medical research institute, half to research grants.

Official source: https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/38/index.htm

Source captured 2026-10-08.

What your vote means

A YES vote

The state could borrow $8.4 billion to support medical research in immunology and immunotherapy conducted by California research institutes and universities.

A NO vote

The state could not borrow $8.4 billion to support medical research in immunology and immunotherapy conducted by California research institutes and universities.

Official voter guide · source captured 2026-10-08. Read the official overview

Official title and summary
  • Authorizes $8.4 billion in state general obligation bonds for immunology and immunotherapy research (technologies that use body’s immune system to treat disease), with half dedicated to cancer, heart disease, and Alzheimer’s disease.
  • Allocates funds equally between (1) a single University of California-affiliated nonprofit medical research institute, and (2) research grants for public or nonprofit universities and institutions.
  • Requires funding recipients to sell technology and drugs derived from research in California for 20% below national average price.
  • Appropriates money from General Fund to repay bonds; General Fund receives 10% of licensing royalties until bonds are repaid.

Prepared by the Attorney General. Read the official title and summary

Official documents

Research

Fiscal impact

Legislative Analyst’s estimate, published in the official voter guide. Read the complete analysis

Background — Legislative Analyst

Medical Research and Development (R&D) Is a Multi- Stage Process. The first stage of this process is basic research, which focuses on discovering new knowledge about how the human body works. The next stage is applied and clinical research, which aims to develop and test treatments for specific diseases. Universities do most of the basic research, while companies do most of the applied and clinical research. The third R&D stage is to have regulators review new treatments to make sure they are safe and effective. If a new treatment is approved, then it may be used on patients. Most R&D projects do not make it through all of these stages.

Medical R&D Is Funded in Various Ways. Funding for medical R&D in the United States totaled about $300 billion in 2023. Companies and government agencies (such as the National Institutes of Health) are the major funding sources for R&D nationally and in California. Beyond these funding sources, California voters have approved two ballot measures— Proposition 71 (2004) and Proposition 14 (2020)— giving the state authority to issue general obligation bonds to fund specified medical research. Combined, the two measures allowed the state to issue $8.5 billion in bonds for stem cell research. Bonds are a way for the state to borrow money, then repay it with interest over time. A general obligation bond is typically repaid from the state General Fund. (The General Fund is the account the state uses to pay for most public services, including education, health care, and prisons.) For more information about bonds, see “Overview of State Bond Debt” later in this guide.

Figures and full document formatting are available in the official analysis.

Proposal — Legislative Analyst

New Bond for Specified Medical Research. Proposition 38 allows the state to issue an $8.4 billion general obligation bond for research in immunology and immunotherapy. Immunology is the study of the body’s immune system and how it protects the body from abnormal cells and other causes of disease. Immunotherapy develops treatments that help the immune system fight diseases more effectively. The measure requires that at least $4.2 billion of the bond funds be used for immunology research on cancer, heart disease, and Alzheimer’s disease. No more than 2 percent of total bond funds may be used for state administrative costs. Payments on the bond would come from the state General Fund.

Supports a Research Institute. About half of the bond funds would go to a research institute specializing in immunology and immunotherapy. The California Department of Public Health (CDPH) would select the institute. The selected institute must meet several criteria, including criteria related to its size, funding, and collaboration with a University of California (UC) campus. The institute would use the bond funds for research. Each year, the institute must issue a public report on its activities and have an independent financial audit.

Supports Research Grants. A council would give out the other half of bond funds as competitive research grants focused on immunology and immunotherapy. The council would consist of representatives from 7 UC campuses and 10 to 15 other universities and nonprofit research institutions in California. The council would set research priorities and select grant recipients from among its member organizations. Similar to the institute, the council would have public reporting and audit requirements.

Requires 10 Percent of Revenue From Discoveries First Be Used to Repay the State. Proposition 38 requires that the institute, in consultation with CDPH, try to generate the most revenue possible from the funded research. (Research, for example, could lead to the development of a new medical treatment.) Ten percent of any revenue generated must be given to the state. This revenue must first go into the state General Fund until it repays the cost of the research bond (the amount borrowed plus the interest). Any additional revenue would be used for future immunology and immunotherapy research.

Has Two Other Notable Provisions. Requires Purchases From California Suppliers. Grant recipients must buy at least half of their goods and services from California suppliers when reasonably possible. Requires California Patient Discount. Any treatment developed through funded research and sold in California must generally be offered at a 20 percent discount.

Figures and full document formatting are available in the official analysis.

Fiscal Effects — Legislative Analyst

Increased State Cost of $500 Million to $600 Million Annually for About 20 Years to Repay the Bond. The state General Fund cost to repay the bond would be $500 million to $600 million annually for about 20 years . The annual cost would be about one-quarter of 1 percent (0.25 percent) of the state’s total General Fund budget. Since the state has to pay interest on the money it borrows, the total cost of the bond would be about 10 percent more (after adjusting for inflation) than if the state paid up-front with money it already has.

Potential State Revenue From Research Discoveries. The state could receive revenue from research funded by Proposition 38. The amount of revenue is uncertain but could be significant. It would depend on how many research projects lead to marketable treatments and how much money any given treatment generates. The timing of these revenues and how long it would take to offset the state’s bond cost is also uncertain, but could take decades.

Potential Indirect Fiscal Effects. Proposition 38 likely would have some indirect fiscal effects, particularly on costs for state health programs (such as Medi-Cal, which pays for health care for low-income Californians). For example, if the funded research leads to new medical treatments, the average cost of patient care could either increase or decrease. As a result, the overall effect on program costs is uncertain.

Figures and full document formatting are available in the official analysis.

Arguments in the voter guide

These are the authors’ advocacy statements, not impartial analysis or CalBallot endorsements. Official agencies have not checked these arguments for accuracy.

Argument for

YES on 38 supports life-saving immunology research to cure and prevent diseases like cancer, heart disease, Alzheimer’s. Strong accountability including independent audits. Mandates 20% Rx discount. Designed to ensure no cost to taxpayers. YES on 38 could save your life and someone you love. Alzheimer’s Association, The Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson’s Research urge YES on 38! www.YESon38.com

Argument against

California should continue supporting biomedical research, but Proposition 38 is the wrong approach. It would commit taxpayers to decades of new bond debt while limiting California’s flexibility to address changing health priorities. Research funding should be guided through the normal budget process—not by ballot initiatives.

Read the full arguments, authors and rebuttals

Supporters and opponents listed in the guide

Supporters

  • Michael J. Fox Foundation
  • Alzheimer’s Los Angeles
  • Kidney Cancer Assoc
  • American Nurses Assoc\CA

Opponents

  • Robert M Kaplan Ph.D.

These are the submitted lists in the official overview, not exhaustive lists of endorsements. “None submitted” does not mean no opposition exists.

Official voter guide · source captured 2026-10-08. Read the official overview

Campaign finance

2026 reported campaign contributions

SOS-reported contributions to primarily formed committees. These are contributions, not spending. Some committees work on several measures or transfer money to other committees; do not add these figures across measures or treat them as unique donor dollars.

In support

$64,215,472

Reported through 2026-10-06 · 2 committee(s)

In opposition

$3,782

Reported through 2026-10-06 · 1 committee(s)

SOS contribution totals and reporting scope · captured 2026-10-08.

Supporting committees (2)
Opposing committees (1)
NO ON PROPOSITION 38 (ID 1495405)$3,782

Top contributors by committee

FPPC list updated 2026-10-06. These lists cover qualifying committees, not every donor or all campaign money. They are not a breakdown of the SOS totals above: the sources have different reporting coverage, and even one FPPC donor amount can exceed a displayed SOS total. An asterisk (*) marks money for a committee involved in multiple measures; it cannot be allocated to this measure alone. Lists below are not added together.

Supporting: Yes on 38: Californians for Life-Saving Immunology Research and Cures, sponsored by the Michelson Center for Public Policy, 1485847
Gary K. Michelson CA$25,000,000
Michelson Center for Public Policy, Inc. - Yes on 38 (Nonprofit 501(c)(4))Top Contributor to Donor: Gary K. MichelsonMichelson Center for Public PolicyFPPC includes multiple names in this row; the amount is not split between them here. CA$21,200,000
Meyer Luskin CA$5,000,000
Supporting: Michelson Center for Public Policy, Inc. - Yes on 38 (Nonprofit 501 (c)(4))
Gary K. Michelson CA$10,000,000

Open the FPPC lists and methodology

This is a reporting snapshot. A contribution timeline, donor concentration and sector breakdown have not been calculated for these 2026 records. Earlier elections’ receipt totals use CalBallot’s separate historical finance dataset.

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